Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) is a government agency under the Swedish Ministry of Environment. SMHI offers products and services that provide various organisations with environmental information to support decision-making. The main fields include weather and climate forecasts/projections, industry-specific services, simulations and analyses, statistics. SMHI has a strong R&D, focused on developing these services and extending them to climate time scales. Climate research involves all of six research units at the Research Department including the Rossby Centre that is responsible for climate modelling activities.
Colin Jones is Head of The Rossby Centre, with ~20 years experience in the development of climate models. Prior to heading the Rossby Centre, he was Director of the Canadian Regional Climate Modeling Network and Professor at the University of Quebec at Montreal. He is co-chair of the WCRP Task-Force on Regional Climate Downscaling and an invited expert on the WCRP WGCM and WGNE panels. He co-leads the WCRP Project CORDEX (Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment). He is a member of the EC-Earth Steering Group. He has been involved in more than 10 EU projects and coordinated a number of international and national research consortia. His research expertise is in the development of climate models.
Patrick Samuelsson is a scientist in the Rossby Centre at SMHI. He has a PhD in meteorology connected to boundary-layer turbulent processes. He leads development of the atmosphere-land component of the Regional Climate model RCA. He is also involved in development of the externalised surface scheme SURFEX. His main interest concerns processes and feedback mechanisms related to vegetation, soil and lakes. He has acted as WP leader in the FP5 project CLIME. Currently he is involved in projects where RCA is applied over Europe, Arctic, Africa and South America.
Grigory Nikulin is a scientist in the Rossby Centre. His main research activities are evaluation of climate models and analysis of climate scenarios on both global and regional scales. He has substantial experience in handling and analyzing large climate databases, with a particular emphasis on advanced statistical analysis. A large part of his research focuses on how the statistics of weather and climate extremes may change in the future under different climate scenarios. He has been involved in evaluation and analysis of large ensembles of regional climate simulations for Europe and West Africa (ENSEMBLES).
In HEALTHY FUTURES SMHI will perform Regional Climate Simulations for the entire African continent and focused on the study region. These runs will be made both retrospectively over the past 50 years and forwards in time from present-day to ~2100. The future scenarios will use a range of Global Climate scenarios derived from the 5th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), sampling a number of Global Climate Models and future pathways for greenhouse gas concentrations. The integrations will be evaluated over the study region, uncertainties in future climate conditions determined and relevant results downscaled to local scales and communicated to disease experts. SMHI will play an active role in communicating climate scenarios data to disease experts and be involved in investigating disease-climate relationships for the present and how these relationships are projected to evolve under the pressure of various environmental changes in the future.